Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Whither thou, Garret?


Well, this could be the end of Garret Anderson’s long career with the Angels. The Angels bought out his contract today, effectively turning GA into an unrestricted free agent. I’ve mentioned this before, but I do not want to see him go. He’s been my favorite Angel for quite awhile and I’d like to see him finish his career with the Angels. Here are some of his stats and their rank amongst Angels:

.296 Batting Average (3rd behind Guerrero and Carew)
.469 Slugging (5th)
2013 Games Played (1st)
1024 Runs (1st)
2368 Hits (1st)
3743 Total Bases (1st)
489 Doubles (1st)
272 HR’s (2nd behind Salmon)
1292 RBI’s (1st)

Most of those categories aren’t even close. Garret’s been an Angel for a long time, and has been a good one. He isn’t the flashiest defender and he could certainly use a few more walks, but he’s been good for a long time.

Some of you will argue that he’s declining. I can’t dispute that. He isn’t the hitter or defender he used to be. He probably should be a platoon guy. But he should still be a part of this team. He can still contribute. He was never the face of the franchise (Salmon was and Guerrero’s been since then), but I think he’s perfectly happy with the role of quiet producer.

Some will argue that his impatient hitting approach is exactly what’s wrong with the Angels and that if they want to get better, they need to get him out of the lineup. Based on their run differential, the Angels were a 90 win team. (Let’s set aside the fact that 90 wins would have won the division by 11 games and probably would win the division by at least 5 next year.) The Angels need to improve their team for their postseason and that mostly lies with improving the offense. Again, I wouldn’t be upset seeing him in a platoon role, but I would also argue that there are many better ways for the Angels to increase their offensive output next season. Here’s my list:

1. Sign Teixeira for whatever it takes (two thirds of a season from Teixeira is probably worth an extra 3 – 5 wins over Kotchman)
2. Play Mathis once a week and Napoli the rest of the time (worth maybe a win when you factor in defense)
3. Sit GMJ down on the bench and play Morales (worth maybe another win)
4. Hope for some health and improvement from Kendrick (could be up to 2 or 3 more wins, but we can’t really know)
5. Get some improvement from Vlad who no longer has to carry the offense with Teix there and also has repaired knees (he got surgery)
6. Start Brandon Wood and get more power out of the shortstop position

Obviously some of those things will be offset by declines. Saunders may not put up numbers like that again. The Angels will probably have a 5th starter next year who is worse than Garland. The bullpen will probably take a step backward, although hopefully not by much. Either way, the things we can measure should put us up 6 more wins, which should easily win the division and match Boston’s team from this year.

Of course if we don’t sign Teixeira, that means signing Manny Ramirez or Adam Dunn or someone of that nature. Teix isn’t perfect, but he’s easily the least flawed hitter/defender on the market.

I’m not blind – there are definitely arguments to be made for letting GA walk. I’m just not ready to do that yet. He’s been a favorite player for a long time and I’d like to see him retire as an Angel with an outside chance at the Hall of Fame.

Monday, October 20, 2008

What's on Second

Well, this one should be easy. Sorry for the delay - I got kind of busy at work.

Howie Kendrick
Positives: He’s a great line drive hitter, when he’s healthy. He plays a solid second base…when he’s healthy. He should develop some power, ummm, if he can ever, you know, stay healthy.
Negatives: Well…he can’t stay healthy. I don’t know what the Angels can do to solve this problem, but they need to do something, if something can be done. He also wouldn’t know a walk if it bit him in the balls, but if he’s healthy, he should hit enough to mitigate that problem.
Contract: Unless the Angels trade him (which I think would be stupid), he’s their second baseman for the foreseeable future. I’m fine with that. As long as he’s healthy…

Sean Rodriguez
Positives: He’s young. He hit a lot of bombs in AAA, although the PCL is an extreme hitter’s league, so that’s not as good as it seems.
Negatives: He strikes out every other at bat.
Contract: The Angels have him under control for awhile.

Outlook
I really like Howie. It pained me greatly to see him choke in the playoffs, but it’s hard to castigate him for 4 games. I’m really excited to see him play a full season. I hope 2009 is the year it finally happens. Rodriguez is a decent backup for the time being.

Saturday, October 11, 2008

Who's on first?

So every year when you pay your first baseman, who gets it?

All $22 million of it.

(That's some foreshadowing right there folks)

Mark Teixeira:
Positives: The guy rakes. I'm not sure I need to go into detail about just how good of a hitter this guy is, but he's damn good. He's usually good for 40 doubles, 33 HR's, 110 RBI's, 75 walks. Something that impressed me - last season he walked the most in his career (97) and actually struck out less than he walked (93) for the first time in his career. So it's possible he's still getting better. He's also a ridiculously good first baseman, having won two gold gloves. He probably would have won one in the AL again this year had he been there all season. He'll be 29 in April next season.
Negatives: If you can find one...The only two things that are remotely negative: he's slower than molasses, if I may borrow a phrase from my father, and this may have been his peak. He was 28 this season which is about the year a lot of hitters peak. Yes, he did have that ridiculous 144 RBI season with Texas a few years ago, but he was actually better this year since he did what he did in pitcher's parks.
Contract: He's a free agent. And he's a Boras client. BOOOOOOOO! Even if this was his peak year, this guy's going to be good for awhile longer. He was hurt a little bit last year with Texas, but other than that, he's healthy. He's a switch hitter who plays great defense. He's patient. I have a feeling he's going to wind up getting 6 - 8 years at $20 - 23 million per year. That's Yankee territory. But with the salaries that are coming off the Angels books, I think it's worth it for them to sign him. Give him 7 years at $22 million. Vladdy is still good, but he's getting past his prime. Having Teix in the lineup could help keep Vlad going since he won't need to be Superman all the time. I am all for the Angels breaking the bank to get this guy signed.

Robb Quinlan:
Positives: His name starts with a "Q". He can hit lefties fairly well. He can "play" multiple positions, by which I mean Scioscia puts him at multiple positions and watches him struggle with his range and terrible hands. He is cheap though.
Negatives: He's not very good at baseball.
Contract: He's a decent bench guy to have around because he is somewhat versatile, even if he doesn't play any of those positions well. If he's dirt cheap, keep him around. If not, find a young guy who's decent but not going to turn into an everyday player and put him in this role.

Kendry Morales:
Positives: He's a switch hitter. He has good pop, better than Kotchman had at this stage. Most of this is from reports, since I haven't seen the guy play all that much, but his defense is supposed to be solid, but unspectacular. He's versatile - he actually played corner outfield positions in Cuba.
Negatives: He doesn't walk and is somewhat prone to striking out. He isn't actually that young (he'll be 26 next season) and hasn't played a full year in the majors.
Contract: The Angels have him locked up through 2010. I gotta believe, one way or another, Morales will be with a MLB team next season whether it's with the Angels or they trade him.

Others:
Any others are pretty much going to be free agents. From my vantage point, if the Angels don't get Teixeira, there aren't many options that are going to be more valuable than Morales. There are better players, but they'll all be pretty expensive. Here are some possibles anyway:
Jason Giambi: Assuming the Yanks buy him out. Terrible defender - probably should be a DH. Still has some pop and walks. I would hate to see him in an Angel uniform.
Sean Casey: Slower than slow. Has virtually no power left. Would be cheap.
Nomar Garciaparra: Ummm, no thanks.
Richie Sexson: ....that was a joke.
Adam Dunn: He's not really a first baseman, but he's not really a left fielder either. There's no way he could be worse at first base. This would be our second best option if we can't sign Tex. The guy hits 40 HR's a year. He walks a 120 times a year. Sure he strikes out a lot, but I'll put up with that for the extra power.

Outlook:
Really, we have to sign Teixeira. There's no one on the FA market who does all the things he does. Hits for power. Takes walks. Hits for average. Plays great defense. The Yankees are going to come after him, and from what I've heard, he doesn't seem like he fell in love with playing on the Angels or anything. So it's going to take close to $200 million to get him signed. I don't know what the Angels limits are, but that's got to be pretty close. I just don't know if 8 years, $175 million will be enough to overcome the Yankees' offer.

But man, we HAVE to sign this guy.

Friday, October 10, 2008

Angel Catchers

I’m going to go through the Angels’ lineup position by position and evaluate the guys they have there, the contract situations, and what the plan is or should be moving forward. We’ll start with the catcher position:

Mike Napoli:
Positives: Thanks to a torrid September (gotta love the word “torrid” right? I love those words that sound dirty but aren’t, like “titillating”), Napoli finished the season as the best hitting catcher in the majors. Seriously. Look at the stats. They’re ridiculous. He hit 20 HR’s – only 3 other catchers did that and each of them had at least 125 more AB’s. He OPSed .960 (the next best guy, min. 200 AB’s, didn’t even break .900). Maybe he was really rested in September because he got hurt during the middle of the season, but he is easily the best hitting backstop no one in the league is talking about.
Negatives: He strikes out a TON. And by a ton, I mean a crapload (metric conversion: one crapload = 128 hogsheads). He is one of those three true outcomes guys – he walks, he homers, or he strikes out. These things accounted for almost half of his at bats. It’s funny – he hit 20 HR’s and only 9 doubles. Anyway, his defense also gets a bad rap. I’m not sure about how to evaluate that, but I do know that he hardly ever throws anyone out. This may be somewhat on the Angels pitching staff, since Mathis doesn’t throw anyone out either. But it’s probably a combination of his bad mechanics and Angels pitchers having long deliveries.
Contract: He’s eligible for arbitration this winter. I would imagine the Angels will come to terms on something, maybe a 2 year $5 million deal or a one year deal for a couple million.

Jeff Mathis
Positives: ……………………………(crickets chirping)…………………………..(tumbleweed rolls by)………………………….you get the picture
Negatives: Well, he can’t hit. He struck out A TON. He did hit a few homers this year, but whereas Napoli looked like he knew what he was doing on the homers, with Mathis it was more a case of a blind walrus finding a deaf penguin (do walruses eat penguins? I thought they did). And for all of his supposed defensive prowess, he also made the most errors by a catcher and was not all that much better than Napoli at throwing out base stealers. Pitcher’s ERA when he caught was much lower than Napoli’s, but I’m convinced this is because the pitchers knew they had to shut down the opponent when he was in the lineup.
Contract: He’s under the Angels control for a few seasons. Whoopee.

Others
Ryan Budde: Every time I hear his name I think to myself, “Where’s Kid Sister?”
Bobby Wilson: Contrary to popular belief, he did NOT sing with the Beach Boys.
Hank Conger: He’s the guy for the future. He struggled a little bit this year and had some injury issues, but scouts think he’s going to be a solid big league catcher. He was in high A ball this year as a 20 year old, so it would be reasonable to expect him to see big league action in either September 2010 or 2011 if he continues to develop.

Outlook:
The Angels should get Napoli under a reasonable contract for the next two or three seasons until they know what they have in Conger. My ideal situation would be to sign Napoli to a one year deal. If Conger struggles in Double A, get Napoli under contract for a reasonable 3 year deal. If Conger does well, keep Napoli around for as long as it takes until Conger is ready. Catcher is a tricky position and I’m sure Scioscia won’t want to throw the kid to the wolves, so it’s nice to have a veteran around to platoon for awhile. As for Napoli, he’s a great hitter, but he has the sort of skill set that could go south awfully quickly (see Hafner, Travis for example), so you don’t want to sign anything more than 3 years. Keep Mathis around cheaply as long as you can. His value is shot and the Angels don’t have anyone else to back up Napoli anyway, so they might as well hold onto him. There is a chance, however slight, that Mathis may turn out to be decent. The guy was drafted right behind Joe Mauer, for heaven’s sake, so someone thought he was going to be pretty good. In retrospect, the Angels should have been leery of those emailed scouting reports from soproudofjeff34@mathismom.com.

Thursday, October 9, 2008

More Useless Analysis

We're going to keep seeing a lot of this, at least for a few weeks. I don't necessarily agree with Scioscia's call (I'll reiterate why in a moment), but it is hardly the worst postseason managerial gaffe ever. Let me break down this guy's points:
  • The infield was in, significantly increasing Erick Aybar's chances of producing the run with a swing. Significantly? I don't know how to look this up, but I'd love to see a stat that shows a guy's batting average on ground balls with the infield drawn in versus normal. Certainly it helps, but you still have to hit a ball hard and in the right spot. I'm not sure you could call this significant.
  • Aybar was hitting left-handed, giving Jason Varitek a better look at the oncoming runner. I'm not sure why this matters. Why does Jason Varitek need a better look at the runner? If the bunt goes down, no matter who's at the plate, Varitek needs to get in position to make the tag. He's gotta watch the ball, not the runner. Aybar being left-handed also makes it easier for him to bunt the ball.
  • The count was 2-0, allowing Aybar to be more selective. A 2-0 count with the infield in is a hitter's paradise. A-Rod might even produce there. Consider also that Aybar drove home the winning run 24 hours earlier with a base hit. This is a decent point, but for slightly wrong reasons. A 2-0 count is just as much of a bunter's paradise as a hitter's paradise, the assumption being that the pitcher has to come in with a strike to avoid being in a bigger hole. The problem is that you can only make that assumption with pitchers who have shown a command of the strike zone, and Delcarmen had not done that, which is my biggest beef with Scioscia's call.
  • The previous six hitters who faced Justin Masterson: walk, walk, single, fly ball, double, sacrifice bunt. That means five of the six who tried to get on base did so. What does this have to do with Erick Aybar and Manny Delcarmen, two guys who were very different than the others who had faced off before? Who had gotten on base before? Teixeira, Guerrero, Hunter, and Morales, all better hitters with better pitch recognition than Aybar. Masterson struggled. Who knew what Delcarmen would do?

Yes, it was a big risk. Maybe too big. Well, in hindsight, obviously too big. But the reward was huge. What were Aybar's chances of at least putting a bat on that ball? 80%? 70%? And the thing that makes a squeeze so tough to defend is that the catcher can't help field the ball, so even a bunt that goes fifteen feet in front of home can't be fielded by the catcher. If a batter gets the bunt on the ground, you rarely see the runner at home thrown out. In fact, I can't recall this happening (at least on the Angels) in the past several seasons.

So if Aybar gets the bunt down in fair territory, there's a very good chance the Angels score. If he fouls it off, he's still in a hitter's count. What were his chances of having one of those two outcomes? I don't know, but Aybar's a very good bunter with good bat control (he got 9 bunt hits on 19 attempts during the season, a .474 average), I would put it at over 50%. What were his chances of getting the run in if he swings away? Well, he doesn't have much pop, so a sac fly was unlikely (he had one in 17 chances during the season). He is a slap hitter, so he might have been able to slap something through the infield. I don't know, you add all that up, and I don't think you get to 50%.

Alright, I'm not going to pursue this any further. It's going to drive me insane. I'm probably going to start posting some possible Angels offseason moves today or tomorrow. Maybe that will help my mindset.

Tuesday, October 7, 2008

And the hits just keep on coming

Unable to resist, I decided to listen to this clip. Talk about adding fuel to the flames of my anguish. The clip is Dave Campbell, the guy who provided color commentary for ESPN's radio broadcast of the Angel game, explaining to Mike & Mike why he thought that Reggie Willits should have been safe at third on the failed squeeze play.

I will say that everyone I watched with immediately concluded that Willits was out. Varitek seemed to hold the ball long enough. Campbell's point is twofold: 1) The umpires should have at least conferred, especially with the left field ump who also had a good look at the play and 2) If this play had happened in other circumstances (say a play at the plate where Varitek had lost the ball when he hit the ground), Willits would have been unquestionably safe. The rulebook also has a statement that the tagger has to maintain possession of the ball after the tag until the ball is given up intentionally.

He makes good points and if you enjoy torturing yourself with "what ifs," feel free to listen. I did. It doesn't quite convince me to send Tim Welke hate mail, but his secondary point is valid too - if this had happened to Boston, there would be a gigantic uproar in the Northeast. The Angels seem to be content to let it go. Food for dark thought.

Scioscia's Options

So this is obviously on my mind. I’m going to be like this for a few days. Just bear with me.

What were Scioscia’s options other than squeezing in that situation?

1. Squeeze on a different pitch. Probably a good call since Delcarmen hadn’t thrown a strike.
2. Let Aybar swing away. Well, Aybar is not all that great of a hitter. And he has no pop. A decent portion of his hits this year were from infield singles. I’m not all that optimistic about Aybar getting the run home by swinging away. Of course if he makes an out you have Figgins up, but now Figgins HAS to get a hit to get the run in.
3. Pinch hit for Aybar. Let’s look at our options:
A. Wood, Mathis, Quinlan: All of them would be at a disadvantage from the righty-righty matchup. Especially against a hard thrower like Delcarmer. Mathis and Wood are strikeout machines, which is the last thing you want when you’ve got a guy on third.
B. Matthews Jr.: Well, he is a lefty with some pop, so he would have a chance to bring the runner home with a well-placed out. But there are two problems with this as well. One is that GMJ looked terrible against Papelbon. And I know, Papelbon is good, so that’s not terrible, but his bat looked really slow and he’s prone to the strikeout as well. The second is that if you take out Aybar, you lose a decent amount of defense at shortstop when you have to replace him with Wood or Figgins. Aybar has better range and a better arm than both of them, even if his hands aren’t quite as good. If the Angels were losing by one (and thus needed the run to even keep the game going) or this was a home game where the game ends if a run scores, then I say you do it. But even if the Angels had scored there, they need to go out and play defense.

None of these options really excite me. The stat guys and bitter Angels fans will all say that number 2 or number 3B were the ways to go. I still think number 1 gives us a pretty good shot to win. The Angels are a small ball team and had their best bunter at the plate. He just didn’t get it done.

Game 4: Last Dance with Mary Jane

One more time to kill the pain. Yeah, this one was painful. But this brings up an interesting dilemma. Which is more painful, losing like this or getting pounded by a clearly better team like the Angels did last year?

This one is hard. On the one hand, I enjoyed watching this series WAY more than last year. But I have a feeling this loss will linger into the offseason, while it was easy to write off the loss last year. I’m thinking this one will be more painful.

How about this one: is it more painful to be the better team and lose or to be the worse team and lose even though you should have won? I think the former is a lot more painful. And I think that’s why the Angels are so mad (Lackey said afterwards that he wanted to throw someone through a wall). They feel they were the better team and lost. Were they better?

There are so many ways to define better. Did they perform better during the regular season? Survey says: Maybe. The Red Sox outscored them by like 80 runs and gave up the same, which indicates the Red Sox were better. But the Angels won more games, which at the end of the day, is the ultimate measuring stick for a baseball team. Inconclusive.

Were they fundamentally a better team (as in, were the players who comprised the Angels more talented than those of the Red Sox?) This is a tough one too. I think you could definitely make the argument that the Red Sox were more talented offensively (Ortiz, Bay, Youkilis, Pedroia, Drew vs Vlad, Teixeira, Hunter, Anderson, and Napoli). But I would put the Angels top 4 starters and top 4 relievers ahead of the Sox. I think the Sox are probably a little bit more talented overall, but after adding Teix, I don’t think the gap is all that big.

Lastly, who was the better team as measured by their performance in this series? Game 1 was definitely the Sox. Game 2 was tough – the Angels had guys on base almost every inning, they just couldn’t get the big hit (ultimately what doomed them in this series). The Sox got the big hit, but the Angels played a better game overall. It’s kind of a wash, maybe give the Sox a slight edge. Game 3 was definitely played better by the Angels. One mistake cost them 3 runs, otherwise, they were the better team.

Game 4 was another tough one. Lester was good for 7 innings. Lackey was good, but not quite as good. The hitters were equally baffled except for a couple of innings where they put some hits together. The difference is that once again, the Angels made one crucial error (crucial may be the understatement of the eon). The Red Sox didn’t. I’ve done my share of doubting when it comes to K-Rod, but I really believe, with the second half of the Sox lineup coming up, that he would have held a one run lead in the ninth. My belief doesn’t mean anything of course, because it didn’t happen. Anyway, I think the Sox outplayed them again, but not by much at all. When you factor in Lackey’s pride and belief in his team’s abilities, you can’t fault him for thinking the Angels got beat by a worse team. And the difference between the two seems so close, it’s hard to even know if he’s wrong.

So where to lay the blame for this one? There’s essentially four possible places:

1. The hitters (as a whole): They couldn’t get anything going and for the most part couldn’t capitalize the few times they DID have something going. However, I don’t think this is place for blame. Sometimes you give credit where credit is due, and Jon Lester was very very good last night.

2. Shields. Again, I don’t think you can blame Shields very much. Bay’s double was an opposite field bloop. Lowrie’s hit was a seeing eye single that came about 6 inches from Kendrick’s glove. The guy had pitched 3 and two thirds innings in the last two nights and had pretty much shut the Sox down. He does get some blame for not mixing up his pitches at all (more on that in a second). So I give him 7% of the blame.

3. The coaching staff: Namely, Scioscia for calling the squeeze and Scioscia/Butcher for not at least going out to talk to Shields after he gave up that rocket to Kotsay and had thrown about 90% curveballs in the inning (when the curveball is not his best pitch). Last one first. Not going out to visit Shields was poor coaching. Who knows what would have happened, but it might have helped. As for the squeeze, I don’t think the squeeze itself was a bad call, but I wouldn’t have called it on that pitch. Delcarmen had just come in the game and hadn’t really come all that close to the strike zone. It’s a pretty tough assumption that Delcarmen would throw a strike since he hadn’t shown he could. Delcarmen’s a young guy in a HUGE pressure cooker. I would have waited until the guy threw a strike to make that call. I put about 30% of the blame here.

4. Aybar: The rest of the blame goes here. Yeah, it might have been a questionable call, but you absolutely have to put the bat on the ball. You have to. You do whatever the heck it takes. That pitch should haunt him all offseason long.

So yeah, this was painful. I’ll be transferring my allegiance to the Rays, and to the Dodgers to some extent. I really just hope for good baseball from here on out. (EDIT: This isn't true. I actually hope the Red Sox get humiliated in the ALCS.)

I might be offering some insight as to the rest of the postseason, especially if there’s a particularly interesting game that I have the chance to watch. Outside of that, I’m not sure what I’ll be putting on this blog. I’m going to try to update it several times a week, but who knows what it will look like. We’ll see. Check back regularly.

Good season Angels, despite the bad ending. I’ll be here next season.

Monday, October 6, 2008

Game 3: All I Need is a Miracle


What an intense game. I'd like to thank the Angels for helping me with my weight loss program. I lost 7 pounds in sweat last night while waiting for the Halos to win it. Of course I put that weight back on by nervously eating various snack foods all evening. I also developed an ulcer. I withdraw my thanks.

Still, that was quite a contest. I was sure at 483 different moments that the Red Sox were about to win it. That has nothing to do with lacking faith, or hope, or belief or whatever. It also has nothing to do with the quality of our relievers, who, by most objective measures, are pretty darn good. It has everything to do with the fact that the Red Sox had beaten us in the playoffs 11 times in a row and seemed to always be able to pull off that win.

Pretty much all of the at bats in the 10th were nerve-wracking (thank you and your 62 saves, K-Rod). Youkilis, Bay, Lowell, Lowrie...I was sure all of them were going to end it. Lowell's at bat in particular made me nervous, although I'm not sure why. I guess I just figured it would be some dinky single that did it this year. Pedroia was up with a man in scoring position in the 11th. They walked Ortiz for the 9th time that game in the 12th inning.

But the relievers held firm. What a game.

Player of the game: Easily Mike Napoli. He had a rough start in game 1 when everyone was expecting him to continue his September (OPS in September? 1.414. Wow), further "justifying" Scioscia starting Mathis in game 2. But man did he explode in this game. Two absolute BOMBS off of Beckett that silenced the Boston crowd. And then he went ahead and scored the winning run.

Unsung hero: Scot Shields. The ESPN game recap link is titled: "Napoli's bat, K-Rod's arm help Halos avoid sweep." Except Shields was the one who threw 2 and a third scoreless innings, not allowing a baserunner and striking out three. That was huge. (Anyone care to take a guess as to Shields's career ERA in Fenway? 13.85 in 13 innings. Yeah...)

Game changing play: Aybar's single in the top of the 12th to score Napoli. I'd like to say that I was sure that the Angels would pull this out in extra innings, but that's not true at all. Aybar's single was the first time I let myself dare to hope.

The "Johnny Damon Award for Best Throw from Center" goes to...Coco Crisp! This is his first "Caveman."

Coco: I'd like to thank my sister and my grandma for teaching me how to throw. I love you guys! And thanks to God for not letting anyone's criticism get me down. You helped keep me going.

Play that would have been game changing and also would have caused most Angels fans to become alcoholics: That stupid pop up in the 2nd inning. We were debating whether this play would give Howie Kendrick the honor of having the worst postseason ever. He's packed a lot of awfulness into three games. This is not to exonerate Torii Hunter, who should have called that ball all the way. Torii gave up on it, thinking Kendrick had it. I still think more of the blame goes to Kendrick who was closer to the ball and looked like he would get it the whole time. This totally ruined a solid start by Saunders. We were joking in the 11th inning (at which point we'd become mostly hysterical) that Saunders was probably on his second bottle of Jack Daniels in the clubhouse and was going to brawl with Kendrick as soon as the game was over.

Biggest mystery: The strike zone. Did anyone have any idea where exactly this was? I'm also giving a big runner up to the "K-Zone" or whatever they call it on TBS. On one low, inside pitch to Garret Anderson, they brought up K-Zone and I was sure they were going to show the pitch going right down the middle.

Chip Caray: Well, it looks like the umpire missed that one. K-Zone shows a strike there.

Buck Martinez: Well Chip, the replay shows that this pitch actually grazed Garret Anderson's kneecap, but his knee must have been hovering over the middle of the plate, because that's clearly a strike according to K-Zone.

Chip: Well, that's just a professional, big league K-Zone. What a gamer that K-Zone is.

Angel grades:
Everyone gets an A, except for Mike Napoli and Shields, who both get an A+. I'm feeling generous.

Final word:
It's hard to believe that the Angels still have to win two more games. That one should be worth two. Still, I don't anticipate a let down tonight. In fact, I think this win will give them confidence, since they haven't been able to do anything against Boston so far in the playoffs. This broke the seal, so to speak. Plus they've got their ace Lackey going for them tonight and last time he was in Boston, he came two outs away from a no hitter. Let's hope we see that again.

Sunday, October 5, 2008

Oh irony, how you mock me...

I'm not sure if this will change before you can see it, but check out the ad on the very top of this page.

Yep, that's an encouragement to vote for Francisco Rodriguez as the Pepsi Clutch Performer of the Year.

I'm not sure if that's hilarious or tragic.

Saturday, October 4, 2008

Game 2: Mission Impossible

I...don't know where to begin. This post might be 10,000 words. So many things going through my head.

I guess I'll start with this: I was at this game in person. I have been to one playoff game every year the Angels made the playoffs since 2002. ALDS game 1 in 2004. ALDS game 5 in 2005. ALDS game 3 last year. And this game.

This was, without a doubt, the loudest, most raucous, most intense baseball game I have ever been to. It was amazing. It was a TON of fun. Angel fans as a group caught flak the other night for walking out after Boston scored in the ninth. They took that as a challenge and came through. Even after that disastrous first inning from Santana, the crowd was in it until the end. But the end was bitterly painful.

Let me make an analogy to describe it; one that is completely over-the-top. You start dating this girl. You think it's love at first sight, but on the first date, she drops a bomb. "I hate all television shows except soap operas and Grey's Anatomy. I refuse to watch any other television," she tells you. Well that sucks, but it doesn't HAVE to be a deal-breaker, you know? So you keep dating. And every so often, you find another thing you have in common. And another thing. And another. You're having a great time and it just keeps improving.

Finally, you have this great breakthrough and you immediately go out and buy a ring. You show up the next day, ready to surprise her and take this to the next level. This is it. You're ready to be happier than ever. You open the door...and see that she's banging JD Drew. Done. Game over.

That's kind of how it felt to be an Angel fan tonight. There was this incredible emotion; this palpable energy; all of that cliched stuff. It was October baseball as only October baseball can be. As fans in that 8th inning, we took some ownership of that comeback. We felt it was ours. We'd screamed and yelled our asses off for 8 innings, and we were finally back in it. We worked hard for that comeback. Every time an Angel got on base after the third inning, the entire crowd was up. Even when the Sox got some guys on base and Sox fans started the "Let's go Red Sox," they were drowned out in seconds. Best crowd I've ever been a part of.

And it was all thrown out the window in about 5 minutes.

Alright, now for the objective analysis.

Player of the game: Mark Teixeira. F*** you, JD. That's right, you're garbage. I picked Teixeira. The guy was 3 for 3 with a walk and a sac fly, scored three runs, and made a couple of nice plays at first. This is what's scary. Teix, Vlad and Hunter in this series: 14 for 23 with three walks. Yeah, they've all been singles, but a lot of them have been hit hard. If the Angels can't win when the middle of the order does THAT, it's time to be worried.

Game changing play: Don't make me say it. Nope. I won't say it. I refuse.

Blown call of the game: That pickoff at second in the ninth. Man was that bad. Crisp couldn't even get to the base because Aybar was blocking it. Yeah, the tag was late, but it didn't matter because Crisp DIDN'T GET TO THE BASE. Who knows if that changes the way K-Rod pitches to Drew? Probably doesn't. But a one run lead is a lot different than a two run lead against Papelbon.

Angel Grades
Figgins (B+): He did have some frustrating at bats in this game. That .200 OBP is the main reason why the middle of the order only has 4 RBI's, even though they have 14 hits. But man, that triple was SWEET.
Anderson (F+): The plus was for that ball he almost hit out off of Okajima. The rest of the game was awful, especially that pop up with Figgins on third.
Teixeira (A): No A+ because he still only hit singles, but so much for Teixeira being intimidated by his first postseason action. Can you smell a $200 million contract, Scott Boras?
Vlad (A-): This might be rough since he did go 3 for 4 with a walk, but man could the Angels have used some extra base fireworks.
Hunter (B+): Two clutch RBI's. His error in center didn't hurt anything. Should have been safe at first.
Rivera (C+): A solid "meh." The two walks were nice, but I thought he could have gotten to Ellsbury's double in the 4th.
Kendrick (G): That's right, he doesn't even deserve an F. He was terrible. Left 6 guys on base, again. Ugh, he's gotta figure this out. He swung at some BAAAAD pitches.
Mathis (C): Struck out terribly, and got lucky with that blooper.
Aybar (F+): Left a lot of guys on base. Made an error.

Bench (B-): Napoli was the redeeming factor here with that bases loaded walk. Matthews fouled out, Willits didn't do much, and Morales popped up.

Santana (C): Yeah, he gave up 5 runs. But he also kept the team in it and never let momentum swing back over to the Sox. He had the one bad inning, otherwise he looked decent.
Bullpen (excluding K-Rod) (B+): Arredondo was shaky but got the job done. Shields looked good for two batters at least.
K-Rod (F): Could very well have been his last appearance as an Angel at Angel Stadium. Way to go out there, buddy.

Scioscia (B): The only quibble I have is going to K-Rod in the eighth when I think Shields could have gotten Pedroia. If Pedroia reaches, then you go to K-Rod to face Ortiz. But I think he would have been better served letting K-Rod start the ninth. That isn't that big a deal. It seemed like an okay move at the time. I liked the aggressiveness in pinch hitting Morales for Mathis early in the game, even though it didn't work out.

Final word
Intense game. This probably would have been the best baseball game I'd ever seen live if the Angels had won it. Even still, it ranks way up there.

Well, they gotta win three in a row, including two in Boston. Not impossible, to be sure, but not very easy, either. One at a time, boys. You can do it.

Thursday, October 2, 2008

Game 1 Analysis

Crappy. That pretty much describes last night’s game. Alright, I’m done here. See ya guys on Friday! Just kidding.

I think what I’ll do for these game analyses is give out grades and mention some key players/plays. We’ll see how it goes.

Player of the game: Jon Lester. He wasn’t phenomenal or brilliant or any of those other superlatives broadcasters and media personnel are probably using to describe him, but he was good. And against the Angels last night, that was enough. He did get better as the night went on; he looked stronger in the sixth and seventh than he did in the first three innings.

Game changing play: Bay’s homerun. It did a few things: gave the Red Sox the lead in a tight game, gave the Red Sox confidence when John Lackey had been pretty good, shot down the Angels confidence (which wasn’t all that high to begin with), and took the crowd partially out of the game.

Game changing play – Runner Up: Vlad getting thrown out at third. This was the first time the Angels had strung hits together in a few innings. The play was bad on so many levels: if Vlad plays it cautious the whole way, he’s standing on second base with one out, which is just fine. I have no problem with Vlad being aggressive, but he needed to be aggressive right off the bat. He hesitated and that was that. This completely hosed a possible Angels rally (even though Howie Kendrick might have grounded into a double play right after that anyway). This also served to take the crowd, who represented themselves pretty well, I must say, the rest of the way out of the game.

Managerial move that looks bad in hindsight, but wasn’t: Not pinch running for Vlad, who’s running like a lame musk ox at this point. Why not pinch run Willits? Because that means you take one of the only two legitimate power threats out of your lineup. If Vlad’s spot comes up in the ninth with a chance to tie the game and you’ve got Juan Rivera or Brandon Wood in there, you’re losing a lot. You could argue that with the way the Angels were hitting, they couldn’t really afford to mess around with that tying run, but I don’t think you take Vlad out of the game.

Managerial move that looked bad at the time, and then bad in hindsight as well: Pitching to David Ortiz with two outs and a guy in scoring position. Dumb. And Dumber. Youkilis isn’t chopped liver coming up next, but you’ve got one of the premier RBI guys in the game at the plate, you have a lefty-righty matchup that would turn to a righty-righty matchup, and Shields wasn’t looking good anyway. I couldn’t believe it when Scioscia didn’t call for the walk. A minute later, a bouncer up the middle through the shift and an "insurmountable" 3-run lead.

Angel grades:
Figgins: (F) He looked overmatched. All those singles hit by the middle of the order guys might have been useful if he’d been on base. 3 K’s. Yuck.
Anderson: (B) A couple of nicely hit singles. He also scored the only run. He didn’t leave anyone on base, which might have been the best thing he did (or didn’t do).
Teix: (B) He had a couple of singles as well. He DID leave a guy on base, but also made a nice play over at first. Not a bad playoff debut.
Vlad: (C -) He had some nice hits, but also left guys on base. Plus there was that gigantic base-running mistake that killed our comeback chances.
Hunter: (B+) He was the only one who got a hit with guys in scoring position and he was on base three times. All his hits were singles, but this was a good game for Hunter.
Kendrick: (F) He was as bad as Figgins, except in the opposite way. Instead of leaving the tables bare, he left them full. 6 guys left on base. No hard hit balls.
Napoli: (D) The only reason this isn’t lower is because Kendrick never gave him the chance to do anything meaningful. Napoli looked awful.
Matthews: (F +) Same as Napoli, except he had that awful error in right. It wound up not costing us, but man, that was bad.
Aybar: (D) See Napoli, except replace Kendrick with Matthews.

Bench: (A) Morales singled in the one chance the bench got, so we can’t complain about that. This is like getting an A on 10 point quiz when you're failing the class.

Lackey: (A -) He was by far our best player. He made one mistake pitch (although he shouldn’t have walked Youkilis, but that happens against the Sox). He probably could have gotten through 8 innings if Matthews doesn’t blow that play in right.
Oliver: (A) He was our second best player, in a limited role. That strikeout of Ortiz was HUGE and helped get the crowd back into it.
Shields: (D) The two run scoring singles he gave up were seeing eye grounders. But he didn’t pitch well by any stretch. He was behind most hitters.

Scioscia (D) He didn’t have many opportunities to affect the game, but he blew the big ones he could have made. It was a good move to bring in Oliver to face Ortiz. I think he made the right non-call when it came to pinch-running for Vlad. But the decision to pitch to Ortiz later was awful. And he stuck with Shields too long. It’s usually clear when Shields has his A stuff, and he clearly did not have that. Arredondo is not as good a pitcher as Shields (their ERA’s this year notwithstanding), but Shields wasn't on. And with the Angels hitting like that, it was imperative to keep the lead at one run.

Final Word: Overall, the Angels just got beat by a better team. Sometimes that happens. The Sox were better last night. But it’s not the end of the world. The Angels beat the Sox 8 straight times during the season, so it’s not like they can’t beat them 3 out of 4. I do think Friday’s game is as close to a do-or-die as it gets without actually being one. The Angels DO NOT WANT to go to Fenway needing to win both games. I think they can, but it’s a lot of pressure.